Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.174708 0.187848 0.201684 0.217373 0.234709 0.253325 0.274886
2025-12-28 0.153322 0.172540 0.194039 0.220028 0.250801 0.286335 0.330848
2026-01-04 0.139589 0.162230 0.188682 0.222200 0.264018 0.315119 0.383312
2026-01-11 0.128754 0.153398 0.183177 0.222346 0.273332 0.338635 0.430609
2026-01-18 0.118350 0.143783 0.175348 0.218137 0.275802 0.352621 0.465928
2026-01-25 0.109047 0.134626 0.167082 0.212203 0.274839 0.361163 0.493785
2026-02-01 0.101994 0.127749 0.161088 0.208519 0.276187 0.372474 0.526283
2026-02-08 0.095546 0.121178 0.154940 0.203957 0.275612 0.380549 0.554278
2026-02-15 0.090342 0.115911 0.150142 0.200795 0.276571 0.390657 0.586247
2026-02-22 0.087499 0.113652 0.149273 0.203075 0.285611 0.413719 0.642116
2026-03-01 0.083864 0.110063 0.146272 0.201928 0.289175 0.428250 0.684965
2026-03-08 0.080121 0.106112 0.142499 0.199305 0.290105 0.438380 0.720983
2026-03-15 0.075867 0.101322 0.137385 0.194504 0.287481 0.442822 0.748132
2026-03-22 0.074338 0.100388 0.137885 0.198438 0.299470 0.473648 0.830981
2026-03-29 0.072449 0.098817 0.137316 0.200595 0.308595 0.500299 0.909911
2026-04-05 0.070202 0.096594 0.135615 0.200763 0.314236 0.521060 0.979877
2026-04-12 0.067192 0.093083 0.131743 0.197088 0.312749 0.528078 1.020570
2026-04-19 0.064034 0.089218 0.127134 0.191895 0.308108 0.528448 1.045991
2026-04-26 0.061530 0.086253 0.123806 0.188666 0.306794 0.535250 1.087799
2026-05-03 0.059013 0.083171 0.120153 0.184666 0.303729 0.538152 1.120511
2026-05-10 0.056911 0.080656 0.117300 0.181890 0.302759 0.545274 1.165201
2026-05-17 0.055934 0.079859 0.117184 0.183892 0.311088 0.572960 1.269413
2026-05-24 0.054398 0.078119 0.115442 0.182885 0.313421 0.587816 1.341649